BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
SG e-sportswin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Arkosh Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Arkosh Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
372 picks · 773 bans
Void Spirit
346 picks · 458 bans
Mars
296 picks · 517 bans
Earth Spirit
268 picks · 224 bans
Death Prophet
262 picks · 405 bans
Rubick
241 picks · 145 bans
Keeper of the Light
232 picks · 485 bans
Wraith King
227 picks · 327 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% SG e-sports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% SG e-sports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:44
SG e-sports 55%Arkosh Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by Arkosh Gaming in 51:29.
Game 2prediction missed33:13
SG e-sports 55%Arkosh Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by Arkosh Gaming in 26:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteSG e-sports · 55%
Series resultSG e-sports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2