Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
PuckChamploss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ViKin.ggwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PuckChamp
No games played over 6 months.
ViKin.gg
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 10 games
Puckoften banned
BOOM · 10 games
Earthshakersignature
Aramis · 9 games
Earth Spirit
Aramis · 8 games
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 8 games
Lionsignature
Aramis · 8 games
Void Spiritsignature
BOOM · 8 games
Alchemistsignature
KheZu · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
371 picks · 769 bans
Void Spirit
345 picks · 456 bans
Mars
295 picks · 517 bans
Earth Spirit
268 picks · 223 bans
Death Prophet
262 picks · 402 bans
Rubick
241 picks · 145 bans
Keeper of the Light
231 picks · 484 bans
Wraith King
227 picks · 324 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total54% PuckChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:17
PuckChamp 54%ViKin.gg 46%
The model gave 54% on PuckChamp — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 33:22.
Game 2prediction missed38:19
PuckChamp 54%ViKin.gg 46%
The model gave 54% on PuckChamp — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 35:46.
Model check result
Model favoritePuckChamp · 54%
Series resultViKin.gg 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2