BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
SG e-sportsloss 1:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Infamousloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 8 games
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 7 games
Dark Willowsignature
Yor · 6 games
Leshracsignature
ILICH- · 6 games
Grimstroke
Yor · 5 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
Earth Spirit
Pamplona · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
370 picks · 760 bans
Void Spirit
342 picks · 454 bans
Mars
293 picks · 514 bans
Earth Spirit
266 picks · 223 bans
Death Prophet
259 picks · 395 bans
Rubick
240 picks · 142 bans
Keeper of the Light
230 picks · 480 bans
Wraith King
225 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 43%
Hero pool strength57% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% SG e-sports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteSG e-sports · 52%