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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Arkosh Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The Cutloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Arkosh Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

The Cut

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 6 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
100%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
100%
Io
Iooften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
361 picks · 754 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
335 picks · 450 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
289 picks · 509 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
263 picks · 222 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
249 picks · 390 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
237 picks · 138 bans
51%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
225 picks · 476 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
220 picks · 671 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% The Cut
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 56%