BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Undyingwin 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EgoBoysloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
EgoBoys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
355 picks · 742 bans
Void Spirit
331 picks · 436 bans
Mars
284 picks · 503 bans
Earth Spirit
259 picks · 219 bans
Death Prophet
242 picks · 379 bans
Rubick
236 picks · 137 bans
Keeper of the Light
222 picks · 467 bans
Wraith King
218 picks · 314 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 45%
Hero pool strength50% Team Undying
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Team Undying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Undying · 75%
Series resultTeam Undying 2:0
Series predictioncorrect