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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Latam Defenderswin 2:0
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Arkosh Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Latam Defenders

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Moonlight · 7 games
43%
Mirana
Mirana
Moonlight · 7 games
43%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Aretes · 6 games
33%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Valquiria · 6 games
0%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Aretes · 6 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Valquiria · 5 games
20%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Aretes · 5 games
60%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Cucahook · 5 games
60%

Arkosh Gaming

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
350 picks · 735 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
329 picks · 428 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
282 picks · 497 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
259 picks · 217 bans
49%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
241 picks · 371 bans
57%
Rubick
Rubick
234 picks · 132 bans
51%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
222 picks · 462 bans
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
217 picks · 669 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 57%
Hero pool strength56% Arkosh Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Arkosh Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:17
Latam Defenders 35%Arkosh Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Arkosh Gaming — the game was taken by Latam Defenders in 37:38.
Game 2prediction missed56:38
Latam Defenders 35%Arkosh Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Arkosh Gaming — the game was taken by Latam Defenders in 51:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteArkosh Gaming · 65%
Series resultLatam Defenders 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2