BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
5ManMidasloss 0:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Arkosh Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
Arkosh Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
349 picks · 725 bans
Void Spirit
327 picks · 424 bans
Mars
277 picks · 494 bans
Earth Spirit
258 picks · 217 bans
Death Prophet
241 picks · 359 bans
Rubick
233 picks · 130 bans
Keeper of the Light
220 picks · 458 bans
Nyx Assassin
216 picks · 667 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 54%
Hero pool strength50% 5ManMidas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Arkosh Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:5
5ManMidas 29%Arkosh Gaming 71%
The model gave 71% on Arkosh Gaming — the game was taken by Arkosh Gaming in 24:18.
Game 2prediction correct34:15
5ManMidas 29%Arkosh Gaming 71%
The model gave 71% on Arkosh Gaming — the game was taken by Arkosh Gaming in 32:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteArkosh Gaming · 71%
Series resultArkosh Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2