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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNloss 0:2
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team DogChampwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

NoPing VPN

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Michael · 8 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 7 games
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Matthew · 7 games
86%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 7 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
Oscar · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
80%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
hFn · 5 games
80%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Mariano · 5 games
80%

Team DogChamp

Mars
Marssignature
lukiluki · 6 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Bloody Nine · 6 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
yarintheslayer · 5 games
60%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 4 games
100%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bloody Nine · 3 games
67%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
lukiluki · 3 games
0%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Bloody Nine · 3 games
33%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
yarintheslayer · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
348 picks · 725 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
327 picks · 424 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
277 picks · 492 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
258 picks · 217 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
240 picks · 359 bans
57%
Rubick
Rubick
233 picks · 129 bans
51%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
219 picks · 457 bans
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
216 picks · 665 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:35
NoPing VPN 58%Team DogChamp 42%
The model gave 58% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 41:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanhFn
51% · 18 games53% · 7 games
Dark Seerlukiluki
Dark Seer
Tiny
TinyDarkMago
56% · 5 games53% · 55 games
Keeper of the Lightyarintheslayer
Keeper of the Light
Tidehunter
TidehunterOscar
45% · 23 games47% · 26 games
UndyingBloody Nine
Undying
Clockwerk
ClockwerkMatthew
57% · 20 games
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenPanda
40% · 22 games
Game 2prediction missed29:46
NoPing VPN 62%Team DogChamp 38%
The model gave 62% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 36:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunahFn
50% · 4 games42% · 35 games
Enigmalukiluki
Enigma
Puck
PuckDarkMago
54% · 59 games56% · 98 games
Death ProphetBloody Nine
Death Prophet
Timbersaw
TimbersawOscar
47% · 24 games42% · 20 games
Dark Willowyarintheslayer
Dark Willow
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanMatthew
51% · 42 games
Viper
ViperPanda
49% · 24 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 67%
Series resultTeam DogChamp 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2