BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
bumble bEE'swin 2:0series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Arkosh Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
bumble bEE's
Witch Doctor
ppd · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Sneyking · 4 games
Rubick
Sneyking · 4 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Moo · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
Moo · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
ppd · 3 games
Juggernautoften banned
Fear · 3 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
dnm · 3 games
Arkosh Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
345 picks · 712 bans
Void Spirit
326 picks · 416 bans
Mars
274 picks · 482 bans
Earth Spirit
253 picks · 216 bans
Death Prophet
233 picks · 345 bans
Rubick
229 picks · 128 bans
Keeper of the Light
215 picks · 446 bans
Nyx Assassin
215 picks · 651 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Arkosh Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Arkosh Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:4
bumble bEE's 44%Arkosh Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on Arkosh Gaming — the game was taken by bumble bEE's in 17:26.
Game 2prediction missed22:12
bumble bEE's 44%Arkosh Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on Arkosh Gaming — the game was taken by bumble bEE's in 26:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteArkosh Gaming · 56%
Series resultbumble bEE's 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2