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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5ManMidasloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Tusk
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 8 games
75%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
ILICH- · 6 games
83%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Yor · 5 games
60%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Yor · 5 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
60%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
80%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Pamplona · 3 games
100%

5ManMidas

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
342 picks · 694 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
322 picks · 406 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
271 picks · 476 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
252 picks · 212 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
226 picks · 337 bans
57%
Rubick
Rubick
226 picks · 124 bans
51%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
215 picks · 641 bans
59%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
214 picks · 441 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 29%
Hero pool strength58% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 62%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect