BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
SG e-sportsloss 1:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Latam Defendersloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Latam Defenders
Earth Spirit
Moonlight · 7 games
Crystal Maiden
Aretes · 6 games
Mirana
Moonlight · 6 games
Timbersawoften banned
Valquiria · 6 games
Witch Doctor
Aretes · 6 games
Marsoften banned
Valquiria · 5 games
Undyingoften banned
Aretes · 5 games
Oracleoften banned
Aretes · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
342 picks · 694 bans
Void Spirit
322 picks · 406 bans
Mars
271 picks · 476 bans
Earth Spirit
252 picks · 212 bans
Death Prophet
226 picks · 337 bans
Rubick
226 picks · 124 bans
Nyx Assassin
215 picks · 641 bans
Keeper of the Light
214 picks · 441 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 33%
Hero pool strength57% SG e-sports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% SG e-sports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteSG e-sports · 64%