Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs predictionTTequilaloss 0:2
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HellRaiserswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tequila
No games played over 6 months.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
334 picks · 673 bans
Void Spirit
316 picks · 388 bans
Mars
265 picks · 465 bans
Earth Spirit
245 picks · 206 bans
Rubick
217 picks · 118 bans
Death Prophet
215 picks · 321 bans
Nyx Assassin
212 picks · 632 bans
Phoenix
211 picks · 243 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Tequila
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:46
Tequila 25%HellRaisers 75%
The model gave 75% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 38:48.
Game 2prediction correct25:50
Tequila 25%HellRaisers 75%
The model gave 75% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 38:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 75%
Series resultHellRaisers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2