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Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bramewin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cascade Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
38%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 10 games
70%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
SkyLark · 9 games
33%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 9 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 8 games
75%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
SkyLark · 8 games
75%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Focus · 8 games
38%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
W1sh- · 6 games
50%

Cascade Esports

Rubick
Rubick
jAMES · 9 games
44%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Shisui · 6 games
50%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
MieRo · 4 games
25%
Io
Iooften banned
Zitraks · 4 games
25%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Kidaro · 4 games
0%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Shisui · 4 games
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Zitraks · 3 games
33%
Mirana
Mirana
jAMES · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
330 picks · 667 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
313 picks · 381 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
263 picks · 461 bans
49%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
243 picks · 203 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
216 picks · 117 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
212 picks · 318 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
210 picks · 628 bans
61%
Phoenix
Phoenix
210 picks · 242 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 33%
Hero pool strength56% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Brame 83%Cascade Esports 17%
The model gave 83% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 83%
Series resultBrame 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1