Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Dalanjing Gamingloss 0:2series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Sparking Arrow Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dalanjing Gaming
Tidehunteroften banned
Newbie · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Newbie · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Sparking Arrow Gaming
Elder Titan
XCJ · 5 games
Batrideroften banned
Son GoKu · 3 games
Earth Spirit
September · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Dstones · 3 games
Tusk
September · 3 games
Brewmaster
Son GoKu · 2 games
Linaoften banned
Dstones · 2 games
Mirana
September · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
329 picks · 666 bans
Void Spirit
312 picks · 380 bans
Mars
262 picks · 460 bans
Earth Spirit
243 picks · 202 bans
Rubick
216 picks · 115 bans
Death Prophet
212 picks · 317 bans
Nyx Assassin
210 picks · 628 bans
Phoenix
210 picks · 242 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)20% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% Sparking Arrow Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Sparking Arrow Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteSparking Arrow Gaming · 83%
Series resultSparking Arrow Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect