Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
ViKin.ggwin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TTequilaloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ViKin.gg
Puckoften banned
BOOM · 9 games
Earthshakersignature
Aramis · 8 games
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 8 games
Earth Spirit
Aramis · 7 games
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 7 games
Void Spiritoften banned
BOOM · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Tobi · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Aramis · 6 games
Tequila
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
321 picks · 650 bans
Void Spirit
305 picks · 372 bans
Mars
257 picks · 448 bans
Earth Spirit
238 picks · 196 bans
Rubick
214 picks · 109 bans
Nyx Assassin
208 picks · 621 bans
Death Prophet
203 picks · 301 bans
Keeper of the Light
201 picks · 412 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 44%
Hero pool strength56% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:14
ViKin.gg 62%Tequila 38%
The model gave 62% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 29:35.
Game 2prediction correct52:18
ViKin.gg 62%Tequila 38%
The model gave 62% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 33:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 62%
Series resultViKin.gg 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2