FISSURE Universe: Episode 8. Play-In · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
VValinorloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Power Rangers
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 6 games
Clinkzoften banned
nesfeer · 4 games
Jakirooften banned
Hduo · 4 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
nesfeer · 4 games
Slardaroften banned
nicky`cool · 4 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Alberkaaa · 3 games
Clockwerk
Hduo · 3 games
Kunkka
Alberkaaa · 3 games
Valinor
Jakirooften banned
Stoic · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
G.T.I · 5 games
Kunkka
Wuiter · 4 games
Marsoften banned
Wuiter · 4 games
Phoenix
Wuiter · 4 games
Ringmaster
Jeezy · 4 games
Tusk
Stoic · 4 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Wuiter · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
533 picks · 863 bans
Tusk
515 picks · 378 bans
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 639 bans
Centaur Warrunner
456 picks · 592 bans
Shadow Demon
392 picks · 792 bans
Ember Spirit
350 picks · 556 bans
Gyrocopter
348 picks · 576 bans
Mars
339 picks · 487 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 57%
Hero pool strength57% Valinor
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:11
Power Rangers 50%Valinor 50%
The model gave 50% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 23:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lunanesfeer
Monkey KingCoblackk
TimbersawAlberkaaa
ViperG.T.I
Rubicknicky`cool
UnderlordWuiter
TuskImmersion
TinyJeezy
LargoHduo
JakiroStoic
Game 2prediction correct34:10
Power Rangers 51%Valinor 49%
The model gave 51% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 26:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassinnesfeer
MedusaCoblackk
Centaur Warrunnernicky`cool
MarsWuiter
Anti-MageAlberkaaa
Ember SpiritG.T.I
RingmasterImmersion
RubickJeezy
ChenHduo
TuskStoic
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 52%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2