Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HellRaiserswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Brame
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 12 games
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 9 games
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 9 games
Dark Seersignature
SkyLark · 7 games
Grimstroke
SsaSpartan · 7 games
Ursaoften banned
Focus · 7 games
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 6 games
Puckoften banned
W1sh- · 6 games
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
305 picks · 625 bans
Void Spirit
287 picks · 354 bans
Mars
247 picks · 427 bans
Earth Spirit
233 picks · 186 bans
Rubick
202 picks · 107 bans
Keeper of the Light
195 picks · 383 bans
Nyx Assassin
195 picks · 605 bans
Phoenix
190 picks · 225 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 59%
Hero pool strength51% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:32
Brame 55%HellRaisers 45%
The model gave 55% on Brame — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 36:01.
Game 2prediction missed21:29
Brame 55%HellRaisers 45%
The model gave 55% on Brame — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 35:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 55%
Series resultHellRaisers 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2