Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs predictionNNoUndyingloss 0:1
series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PuckChampwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoUndying
Batrideroften banned
LastHero- · 9 games
Earth Spirit
velheor · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
BLACKARXANGEL · 6 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Kodos · 6 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Kodos · 6 games
Witch Doctor
BLACKARXANGEL · 6 games
Death Prophetoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 4 games
Earthshaker
velheor · 3 games
PuckChamp
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
289 picks · 587 bans
Void Spirit
263 picks · 333 bans
Mars
233 picks · 411 bans
Earth Spirit
217 picks · 172 bans
Keeper of the Light
190 picks · 351 bans
Nyx Assassin
184 picks · 581 bans
Wraith King
183 picks · 244 bans
Rubick
182 picks · 100 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 74%
Hero pool strength54% PuckChamp
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total84% PuckChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePuckChamp · 84%
Series resultPuckChamp 0:1
Series predictioncorrect