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Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
NoUndyingloss 0:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:1
B8 Esportswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

NoUndying

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
LastHero- · 9 games
44%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
velheor · 7 games
29%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
BLACKARXANGEL · 6 games
83%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Kodos · 6 games
17%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Kodos · 6 games
50%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
BLACKARXANGEL · 6 games
17%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 4 games
0%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
velheor · 3 games
33%

B8 Esports

Puck
Puckoften banned
Dendi · 8 games
38%
Rubick
Rubick
illusion · 6 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
RdO · 6 games
50%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
RdO · 6 games
17%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Dendi · 5 games
20%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Duster · 5 games
40%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
[T]SA · 5 games
40%
Arc Warden
Arc Wardenoften banned
RdO · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
289 picks · 587 bans
53%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
263 picks · 333 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
233 picks · 411 bans
48%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
217 picks · 172 bans
48%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
190 picks · 351 bans
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
184 picks · 581 bans
59%
Wraith King
Wraith King
183 picks · 244 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
182 picks · 100 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 31%
Hero pool strength50% B8 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% NoUndying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoUndying · 56%
Series resultB8 Esports 0:1
Series predictionmissed