Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
ViKin.ggwin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HellRaisersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ViKin.gg
Earthshakersignature
Aramis · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Tobi · 6 games
Earth Spirit
Aramis · 6 games
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 6 games
Oracleoften banned
Seleri · 5 games
Puckoften banned
BOOM · 5 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Shad · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
BOOM · 3 games
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
267 picks · 549 bans
Void Spirit
241 picks · 307 bans
Mars
218 picks · 392 bans
Earth Spirit
205 picks · 163 bans
Keeper of the Light
175 picks · 320 bans
Nyx Assassin
173 picks · 550 bans
Phoenix
172 picks · 202 bans
Wraith King
169 picks · 224 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 54%
Hero pool strength54% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:10
ViKin.gg 47%HellRaisers 53%
The model gave 53% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 28:42.
Game 2prediction missed28:18
ViKin.gg 47%HellRaisers 53%
The model gave 53% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 32:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 53%
Series resultViKin.gg 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2