Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs predictionTTequilaloss 0:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bramewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tequila
No games played over 6 months.
Brame
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 10 games
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 9 games
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 8 games
Ursaoften banned
Focus · 7 games
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 6 games
Dark Seersignature
SkyLark · 6 games
Grimstroke
SsaSpartan · 6 games
Puckoften banned
W1sh- · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
264 picks · 536 bans
Void Spirit
237 picks · 298 bans
Mars
218 picks · 387 bans
Earth Spirit
203 picks · 158 bans
Keeper of the Light
174 picks · 309 bans
Phoenix
170 picks · 200 bans
Nyx Assassin
168 picks · 540 bans
Wraith King
167 picks · 216 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 76%
Series resultBrame 0:2
Series predictioncorrect