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PGL Wallachia Season 7. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brothers.Tearlamentswin 2:1
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Ivoryloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments

Faceless Void
Faceless Void
TK · 3 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
niu · 3 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
niu · 2 games
100%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
lou · 2 games
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
zzq · 2 games
50%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Echo · 2 games
100%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
zzq · 1 game
0%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Echo · 1 game
100%

Ivory

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Teehee · 9 games
33%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 8 games
25%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Teehee · 7 games
43%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Dric~ · 7 games
29%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ken · 7 games
57%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Rupido · 6 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Dric~ · 6 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ken · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
537 picks · 854 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
516 picks · 371 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 641 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
459 picks · 589 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
392 picks · 784 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
349 picks · 578 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
348 picks · 554 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
342 picks · 486 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 47%
Hero pool strength59% Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:51
Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments 58%Ivory 42%
The model gave 58% on Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments — the game was taken by Ivory in 58:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerlou
46% · 89 games49% · 186 games
Templar AssassinKarma丶
Templar Assassin
Invoker
InvokerEcho
51% · 80 games52% · 364 games
Ember SpiritKen
Ember Spirit
Tidehunter
Tidehunterniu
54% · 154 games50% · 218 games
AxeRupido
Axe
Jakiro
Jakirozzq
46% · 338 games51% · 126 games
RubickDric~
Rubick
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanTK
50% · 243 games37% · 10 games
Witch DoctorTeehee
Witch Doctor
Game 2prediction correct28:17
Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments 58%Ivory 42%
The model gave 58% on Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments in 40:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladelou
52% · 399 games51% · 265 games
GyrocopterKarma丶
Gyrocopter
Axe
Axeniu
47% · 216 games53% · 265 games
BeastmasterKen
Beastmaster
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritEcho
42% · 40 games51% · 214 games
BristlebackRupido
Bristleback
Warlock
Warlockzzq
48% · 531 game55% · 113 games
Bounty HunterDric~
Bounty Hunter
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageTK
49% · 143 games49% · 472 games
JakiroTeehee
Jakiro
Game 3prediction correct26:13
Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments 58%Ivory 42%
The model gave 58% on Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments in 38:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterlou
46% · 354 games49% · 100 games
LifestealerKarma丶
Lifestealer
Axe
Axeniu
51% · 237 games55% · 265 games
Storm SpiritKen
Storm Spirit
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritEcho
49% · 28 games59% · 192 games
BristlebackRupido
Bristleback
Undying
Undyingzzq
48% · 136 games52% · 338 games
JakiroTeehee
Jakiro
Disruptor
DisruptorTK
49% · 313 games40% · 173 games
Dark WillowDric~
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers.Tearlaments · 64%
Series resultYakult Brothers.Tearlaments 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3