PGL Wallachia Season 7. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionSsapsaploss 1:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Yakult Brothers.Tearlamentswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
sapsap
No games played over 6 months.
Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments
Faceless Void
TK · 3 games
Tidehunteroften banned
niu · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
niu · 2 games
Clinkzoften banned
lou · 2 games
Disruptor
zzq · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Echo · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
zzq · 1 game
Earth Spirit
Echo · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
540 picks · 854 bans
Tusk
519 picks · 370 bans
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 642 bans
Centaur Warrunner
458 picks · 589 bans
Shadow Demon
393 picks · 782 bans
Gyrocopter
349 picks · 581 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 555 bans
Mars
341 picks · 488 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
sapsap 42%Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments 58%
The model gave 58% on Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments — the game was taken by sapsap.
Game 2prediction correct
sapsap 42%Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments 58%
The model gave 58% on Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments.
Game 3prediction correct
sapsap 42%Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments 58%
The model gave 58% on Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers.Tearlaments · 58%
Series resultYakult Brothers.Tearlaments 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3