EPL Masters III · BO3
result vs prediction
The WarriorsQloss 0:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Ssalamitwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The WarriorsQ
Doomoften banned
Kami · 4 games
Dark Willow
Krinzhik · 3 games
Witch Doctor
JANTER · 3 games
Disruptor
JANTER · 2 games
Hoodwink
JANTER · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Katsura · 2 games
Ringmaster
Krinzhik · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
icq · 2 games
salamit
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
528 picks · 342 bans
Dark Willow
459 picks · 250 bans
Mirana
407 picks · 183 bans
Winter Wyvern
359 picks · 334 bans
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 517 bans
Windranger
306 picks · 138 bans
Centaur Warrunner
300 picks · 295 bans
Earth Spirit
297 picks · 524 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% salamit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% The WarriorsQ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
The WarriorsQ 65%salamit 35%
The model gave 65% on The WarriorsQ — the game was taken by salamit.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe WarriorsQ · 65%
Series resultsalamit 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1