Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empireloss 0:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Imperial Pro Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Empire
Phoenixoften banned
sayuw · 10 games
Earth Spiritsignature
sayuw · 6 games
Medusaoften banned
Smiling Knight · 5 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Smiling Knight · 5 games
Clockwerk
sayuw · 4 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
EcNart · 4 games
Chenoften banned
EcNart · 3 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Petushara · 3 games
Imperial Pro Gaming
Earth Spirit
Muka · 12 games
Pucksignature
Askold · 10 games
Chensignature
antoha · 8 games
Elder Titansignature
antoha · 8 games
Leshracsignature
Askold · 8 games
Clockwerksignature
Muka · 7 games
Tidehuntersignature
SuperNova · 6 games
Iooften banned
antoha · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
198 picks · 436 bans
Mars
179 picks · 333 bans
Void Spirit
171 picks · 244 bans
Earth Spirit
167 picks · 138 bans
Phoenix
144 picks · 164 bans
Keeper of the Light
136 picks · 229 bans
Nyx Assassin
127 picks · 438 bans
Rubick
123 picks · 72 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 61%
Hero pool strength56% Imperial Pro Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Imperial Pro Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial Pro Gaming · 59%
Series resultImperial Pro Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect