Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Dalanjing Gamingloss 0:2series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CDEC Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dalanjing Gaming
Tidehunteroften banned
Newbie · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Newbie · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Eros · 1 game
CDEC Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
194 picks · 424 bans
Mars
178 picks · 323 bans
Void Spirit
166 picks · 234 bans
Earth Spirit
164 picks · 136 bans
Phoenix
141 picks · 161 bans
Keeper of the Light
133 picks · 220 bans
Nyx Assassin
123 picks · 427 bans
Rubick
121 picks · 67 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% CDEC Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% CDEC Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteCDEC Gaming · 80%
Series resultCDEC Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect