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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — ЮВА 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ZeroTwowin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
67%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
100%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
100%
Riki
Rikioften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Spectre
Spectreoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%

ZeroTwo

Mars
Marsoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 5 games
60%
Riki
Rikioften banned
Dreamocel · 5 games
40%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Poloson · 5 games
40%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
CHYuan · 4 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 4 games
75%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
CHYuan · 4 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
inYourdreaM · 3 games
0%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
184 picks · 414 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
172 picks · 314 bans
47%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
162 picks · 130 bans
49%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
159 picks · 228 bans
59%
Phoenix
Phoenix
137 picks · 154 bans
59%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
128 picks · 214 bans
53%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
122 picks · 412 bans
62%
Rubick
Rubick
119 picks · 64 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 61%
Series resultZeroTwo 0:2
Series predictionmissed