Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hippomaniacsloss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bramewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hippomaniacs
No games played over 6 months.
Brame
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 6 games
Oracle
SsaSpartan · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 5 games
Puckoften banned
W1sh- · 4 games
Enigmaoften banned
SkyLark · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 3 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Focus · 3 games
Ursaoften banned
Focus · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
141 picks · 257 bans
Puck
141 picks · 321 bans
Earth Spirit
123 picks · 108 bans
Void Spirit
123 picks · 178 bans
Phoenix
112 picks · 120 bans
Keeper of the Light
94 picks · 165 bans
Nyx Assassin
91 picks · 322 bans
Rubick
90 picks · 46 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 38%
Hero pool strength54% Hippomaniacs
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:32
Hippomaniacs 47%Brame 53%
The model gave 53% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 37:29.
Game 2prediction correct22:41
Hippomaniacs 47%Brame 53%
The model gave 53% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 39:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 53%
Series resultBrame 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2