Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Respectwin 1:0series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Empireloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Respect
Clockwerk
Davai · 2 games
Oracle
Davai · 1 game
Snapfireoften banned
Davai · 1 game
Team Empire
Phoenixoften banned
sayuw · 8 games
Clockwerk
sayuw · 3 games
Medusaoften banned
Smiling Knight · 3 games
Tusk
sayuw · 3 games
Chenoften banned
EcNart · 2 games
Juggernautoften banned
Smiling Knight · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Petushara · 2 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Smiling Knight · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
137 picks · 307 bans
Mars
135 picks · 248 bans
Earth Spirit
121 picks · 98 bans
Void Spirit
115 picks · 170 bans
Phoenix
105 picks · 116 bans
Keeper of the Light
89 picks · 159 bans
Nyx Assassin
86 picks · 307 bans
Rubick
85 picks · 41 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% Team Empire
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Team Empire
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Zero Respect 32%Team Empire 68%
The model gave 68% on Team Empire — the game was taken by Zero Respect.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Empire · 68%
Series resultZero Respect 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1