Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Dalanjing Gamingloss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dalanjing Gaming
Tidehunteroften banned
Newbie · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Newbie · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Xtreme Gaming
Batrideroften banned
Storm · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Storm · 1 game
Viperoften banned
Storm · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
111 picks · 241 bans
Mars
101 picks · 210 bans
Earth Spirit
96 picks · 72 bans
Void Spirit
87 picks · 141 bans
Phoenix
81 picks · 84 bans
Rubick
70 picks · 35 bans
Nyx Assassin
67 picks · 236 bans
Wraith King
66 picks · 70 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 36%
Hero pool strength50% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 61%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect