?
arrow_backBack to match
Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial Pro Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hippomaniacsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Imperial Pro Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Muka · 6 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Muka · 5 games
60%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Askold · 5 games
80%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
antoha · 4 games
75%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
SuperNova · 4 games
50%
Io
Iooften banned
antoha · 3 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Askold · 3 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
antoha · 2 games
100%

Hippomaniacs

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
95 picks · 213 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
89 picks · 192 bans
49%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
86 picks · 63 bans
57%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
73 picks · 129 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
64 picks · 71 bans
57%
Rubick
Rubick
60 picks · 31 bans
52%
Undying
Undying
60 picks · 79 bans
56%
Wraith King
Wraith King
58 picks · 60 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 33%
Hero pool strength55% Imperial Pro Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Imperial Pro Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:31
Imperial Pro Gaming 67%Hippomaniacs 33%
The model gave 67% on Imperial Pro Gaming — the game was taken by Imperial Pro Gaming in 46:18.
Game 2prediction correct50:32
Imperial Pro Gaming 67%Hippomaniacs 33%
The model gave 67% on Imperial Pro Gaming — the game was taken by Imperial Pro Gaming in 38:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial Pro Gaming · 67%
Series resultImperial Pro Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2