Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs predictionNNoUndyingwin 2:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Level UPloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoUndying
Earth Spirit
velheor · 3 games
Jakiro
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Kodos · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Kodos · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Kodos · 1 game
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 1 game
Oracle
BLACKARXANGEL · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
velheor · 1 game
Level UP
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
73 picks · 155 bans
Puck
71 picks · 174 bans
Earth Spirit
61 picks · 52 bans
Void Spirit
55 picks · 107 bans
Rubick
48 picks · 28 bans
Undying
47 picks · 70 bans
Monkey King
46 picks · 107 bans
Phoenix
46 picks · 64 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% NoUndying
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% NoUndying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoUndying · 73%
Series resultNoUndying 2:0
Series predictioncorrect