Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empirewin 2:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
No Bounty Hunterloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Empire
Phoenixoften banned
sayuw · 2 games
Tusk
sayuw · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Petushara · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
EcNart · 1 game
Chaos Knightoften banned
Petushara · 1 game
Chen
EcNart · 1 game
Clockwerk
sayuw · 1 game
Gyrocopter
Smiling Knight · 1 game
No Bounty Hunter
Puckoften banned
ntakii · 3 games
Earth Spirit
dEsire · 2 games
Undyingoften banned
Flash · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
ntakii · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
BliNcc · 1 game
Dark Seeroften banned
BliNcc · 1 game
Earthshakeroften banned
dEsire · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
BliNcc · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
71 picks · 155 bans
Puck
67 picks · 172 bans
Earth Spirit
59 picks · 52 bans
Void Spirit
53 picks · 104 bans
Rubick
48 picks · 26 bans
Monkey King
46 picks · 104 bans
Undying
46 picks · 70 bans
Phoenix
45 picks · 59 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% Team Empire
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Team Empire
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Empire · 53%
Series resultTeam Empire 2:1
Series predictioncorrect