Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs predictionXXactJlepbIwin 2:1
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Hippomaniacsloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
XactJlepbI
Shadow Shaman
KingR · 4 games
Undyingoften banned
nofear · 4 games
Elder Titan
nofear · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Funn1k · 3 games
Pangolier
Funn1k · 3 games
Timbersawoften banned
MagicaL · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
MagicaL · 2 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
lightless · 2 games
Hippomaniacs
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
69 picks · 149 bans
Puck
58 picks · 165 bans
Earth Spirit
56 picks · 47 bans
Void Spirit
48 picks · 97 bans
Undying
46 picks · 68 bans
Rubick
45 picks · 24 bans
Phoenix
44 picks · 56 bans
Monkey King
43 picks · 94 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 43%
Hero pool strength58% XactJlepbI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% XactJlepbI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteXactJlepbI · 72%
Series resultXactJlepbI 2:1
Series predictioncorrect