Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Европа 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs predictionBburjuiloss 0:2
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bramewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
burjui
No games played over 6 months.
Brame
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 4 games
Enigmaoften banned
SkyLark · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 2 games
Enchantressoften banned
SsaSpartan · 2 games
Puckoften banned
W1sh- · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Focus · 2 games
Bristlebackoften banned
W1sh- · 1 game
Elder Titan
SsaSpartan · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
69 picks · 149 bans
Puck
58 picks · 165 bans
Earth Spirit
56 picks · 47 bans
Void Spirit
48 picks · 97 bans
Undying
46 picks · 68 bans
Rubick
45 picks · 24 bans
Phoenix
44 picks · 56 bans
Monkey King
43 picks · 94 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 29%
Hero pool strength54% burjui
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% burjui
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
burjui 77%Brame 23%
The model gave 77% on burjui — the game was taken by Brame.
Model check result
Model favoriteburjui · 77%
Series resultBrame 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1