Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPloss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Zero Respectwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Level UP
No games played over 6 months.
Zero Respect
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
62 picks · 144 bans
Puck
56 picks · 152 bans
Earth Spirit
54 picks · 41 bans
Void Spirit
47 picks · 91 bans
Phoenix
43 picks · 54 bans
Undying
43 picks · 64 bans
Monkey King
41 picks · 87 bans
Rubick
41 picks · 21 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Level UP
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 57%
Series resultZero Respect 0:2
Series predictionmissed