Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Dalanjing Gamingloss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Phoenix Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dalanjing Gaming
Tidehunteroften banned
Newbie · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Newbie · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Phoenix Gaming
Miranaoften banned
pLAnet · 5 games
Elder Titan
zzq · 4 games
Centaur Warrunner
Molasses · 2 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
shiro · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Molasses · 2 games
Brewmaster
zzq · 1 game
Clockwerk
zzq · 1 game
Dark Willow
pLAnet · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
61 picks · 139 bans
Puck
53 picks · 149 bans
Earth Spirit
51 picks · 41 bans
Void Spirit
47 picks · 86 bans
Phoenix
42 picks · 51 bans
Undying
41 picks · 64 bans
Monkey King
39 picks · 86 bans
Rubick
39 picks · 21 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 43%
Hero pool strength53% Dalanjing Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Phoenix Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePhoenix Gaming · 59%
Series resultPhoenix Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect