Moon Studio Kagura Championship · BO3
result vs prediction
Army Geniusesloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
请回答1988win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Army Geniuses
Earth Spirit
Lym- · 4 games
Rikioften banned
db- · 4 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Lym- · 3 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
db- · 3 games
Tidehunteroften banned
woMy · 3 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
woMy · 2 games
Leshracoften banned
db- · 2 games
Pugnaoften banned
db- · 2 games
请回答1988
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
61 picks · 130 bans
Puck
53 picks · 141 bans
Earth Spirit
51 picks · 41 bans
Void Spirit
47 picks · 83 bans
Phoenix
42 picks · 46 bans
Undying
41 picks · 63 bans
Monkey King
39 picks · 81 bans
Rubick
39 picks · 21 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)23% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% 请回答1988
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% 请回答1988
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favorite请回答1988 · 57%
Series result请回答1988 0:2
Series predictioncorrect