Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionKKorobkawindowswin 1:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Trident Clanloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Korobkawindows
Miranaoften banned
Fervian · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
7jesu · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
7jesu · 1 game
Shadow Shaman
Fervian · 1 game
Slark
7jesu · 1 game
Trident Clan
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
57 picks · 118 bans
Puck
50 picks · 129 bans
Earth Spirit
45 picks · 36 bans
Void Spirit
42 picks · 71 bans
Phoenix
37 picks · 44 bans
Monkey King
36 picks · 72 bans
Undying
32 picks · 57 bans
Mirana
31 picks · 35 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength53% Trident Clan
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Korobkawindows
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteKorobkawindows · 50%
Series resultKorobkawindows 1:0
Series predictioncorrect