PGL Wallachia Season 7. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarinewin 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GGGas Gas Gasloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yellow Submarine
Disruptor
Xakoda · 26 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Mirele · 26 games
Snapfire
sayuw · 25 games
Tusk
mrls · 25 games
Void Spirit
Mirele · 25 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Mirele · 24 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 23 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 22 games
Gas Gas Gas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
550 picks · 824 bans
Tusk
513 picks · 368 bans
Dragon Knight
474 picks · 643 bans
Centaur Warrunner
458 picks · 578 bans
Shadow Demon
391 picks · 747 bans
Gyrocopter
354 picks · 581 bans
Mars
344 picks · 474 bans
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 536 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Gas Gas Gas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:45
Yellow Submarine 76%Gas Gas Gas 24%
The model gave 76% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 32:53.
Game 2prediction correct36:10
Yellow Submarine 76%Gas Gas Gas 24%
The model gave 76% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 25:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 76%
Series resultYellow Submarine 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2