Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Закрытые квалификации · BO2
result vs prediction
Omega Esportswin 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ZeroTwoloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Omega Esports
Tiny
Boomy · 4 games
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
Mac · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Mac · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Mac · 2 games
Brewmaster
Bok · 2 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Mac · 2 games
Earthshakeroften banned
Boomy · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mac · 2 games
ZeroTwo
Marsoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
CHYuan · 2 games
Ogre Magi
Poloson · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Dreamocel · 1 game
Dark Willow
inYourdreaM · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 1 game
Leshracoften banned
CHYuan · 1 game
Linaoften banned
inYourdreaM · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
39 picks · 75 bans
Puck
34 picks · 82 bans
Earth Spirit
31 picks · 23 bans
Void Spirit
28 picks · 44 bans
Monkey King
25 picks · 44 bans
Mirana
24 picks · 30 bans
Ember Spirit
23 picks · 30 bans
Phoenix
23 picks · 36 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% ZeroTwo
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Omega Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Esports · 54%
Series resultOmega Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect