DreamLeague Season 30. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionZZenithwin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TGthe goal of all life is deathloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zenith
Techiesoften banned
LOyd · 3 games
Windranger
CatYou · 3 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MamangDaya · 2 games
Pangolier
MamangDaya · 2 games
Anti-Mage
Ulu · 1 game
Axeoften banned
Xiangyu · 1 game
Baneoften banned
LOyd · 1 game
Dark Willow
CatYou · 1 game
the goal of all life is death
Dark Willow
Docres · 2 games
Mirana
Docres · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Summer · 2 games
Anti-Mage
LUCKYLIFE · 1 game
Dragon Knight
Night · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Night · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
Night · 1 game
Lich
葬送的芙莉莲 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
534 picks · 344 bans
Dark Willow
462 picks · 251 bans
Mirana
409 picks · 184 bans
Winter Wyvern
364 picks · 335 bans
Ember Spirit
339 picks · 522 bans
Windranger
309 picks · 139 bans
Centaur Warrunner
300 picks · 297 bans
Earth Spirit
298 picks · 527 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 45%
Hero pool strength57% Zenith
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Zenith
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zenith 67%the goal of all life is death 33%
The model gave 67% on Zenith — the game was taken by Zenith.
Game 2prediction correct
Zenith 67%the goal of all life is death 33%
The model gave 67% on Zenith — the game was taken by Zenith.
Model check result
Model favoriteZenith · 67%
Series resultZenith 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2