?
arrow_backBack to match
ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:0
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
New Growthloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 25 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 22 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
KJ · 20 games
45%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Wisper · 17 games
59%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Yuma · 17 games
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Yuma · 16 games
81%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 15 games
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Scofield · 15 games
53%

New Growth

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Panda · 2 games
100%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Panda · 1 game
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Panda · 1 game
100%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Panda · 1 game
100%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Panda · 1 game
100%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Panda · 1 game
100%
Undying
Undying
Panda · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
544 picks · 815 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
505 picks · 363 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
467 picks · 644 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
452 picks · 570 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
386 picks · 730 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
354 picks · 572 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
341 picks · 469 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 530 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% New Growth
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total85% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:8
Heroic 70%New Growth 30%
The model gave 70% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 27:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
BroodmotherYuma
54% · 9 games52% · 56 games
HuskarPanda
Huskar
Timbersaw
TimbersawWisper
36% · 10 games
Leshrac
LeshracTaiLung
43% · 10 games
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanThiolicor
58% · 15 games
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionKJ
44% · 12 games
Game 2prediction correct38:29
Heroic 65%New Growth 35%
The model gave 65% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 56:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorYuma
29% · 3 games67% · 43 games
Treant ProtectorPanda
Treant Protector
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritTaiLung
38% · 9 games
Batrider
BatriderWisper
36% · 7 games
Jakiro
JakiroThiolicor
38% · 12 games
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonKJ
25% · 12 games
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 85%
Series resultHeroic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2