ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLFLooking for Orgloss 0:2
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NGNew Growthwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Looking for Org
Gyrocopteroften banned
payk · 5 games
Skywrath Mage
Matthew · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
Jakirooften banned
Panda · 4 games
Pugna
Panda · 4 games
Underlord
ILICH- · 4 games
Viperoften banned
PiPi · 4 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
New Growth
Jakirooften banned
Panda · 2 games
Dazzle
Panda · 1 game
Disruptor
Panda · 1 game
Treant Protectoroften banned
Panda · 1 game
Undying
Panda · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
543 picks · 812 bans
Tusk
504 picks · 360 bans
Dragon Knight
467 picks · 644 bans
Centaur Warrunner
452 picks · 569 bans
Shadow Demon
385 picks · 727 bans
Gyrocopter
354 picks · 572 bans
Mars
341 picks · 468 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 528 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% New Growth
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:26
Looking for Org 62%New Growth 38%
The model gave 62% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by New Growth in 42:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiendpayk
EnchantressPanda
LeshracPiPi
BrewmasterVitaly
ClockwerkLelis
Shadow DemonMatthew
Game 2prediction missed13:25
Looking for Org 62%New Growth 38%
The model gave 62% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by New Growth in 45:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiendpayk
Ogre MagiPanda
Ember SpiritPiPi
BristlebackVitaly
RingmasterLelis
TuskMatthew
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 71%
Series resultNew Growth 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2