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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegionwin 2:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9z Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 11 games
36%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 10 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 8 games
25%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Fayde · 8 games
63%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Bignum · 8 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 7 games
86%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
29%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 6 games
83%

9z Team

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Robo-Z · 3 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
N1NE · 2 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Robo-Z · 2 games
50%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
N1NE · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
drakesh1t · 2 games
50%
Underlord
Underlord
drakesh1t · 2 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
drakesh1t · 1 game
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
N1NE · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
533 picks · 786 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 344 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
461 picks · 634 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
448 picks · 559 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
375 picks · 701 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
353 picks · 564 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
339 picks · 465 bans
49%
Slardar
Slardar
322 picks · 897 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% GamerLegion
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total86% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:3
GamerLegion 73%9z Team 27%
The model gave 73% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 16:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkaRCY
51% · 12 games33% · 5 games
Visagedrakesh1t
Visage
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidYamSun
51% · 10 games52% · 70 games
InvokerRobo-Z
Invoker
Viper
ViperFayde
58% · 22 games43% · 55 games
Skywrath MageN1NE
Skywrath Mage
Batrider
BatriderBignum
57% · 60 games
Chen
ChenSpeeed
47% · 26 games
Game 2prediction correct38:18
GamerLegion 73%9z Team 27%
The model gave 73% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 22:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritRCY
51% · 179 games44% · 287 games
Queen of PainRobo-Z
Queen of Pain
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendYamSun
54% · 114 games47% · 246 games
Marsdrakesh1t
Mars
Slardar
SlardarFayde
60% · 145 games42% · 80 games
Skywrath MageN1NE
Skywrath Mage
Tiny
TinyBignum
59% · 144 games
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSpeeed
54% · 31 game
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 86%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2