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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Inner Circleloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 43 games
60%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 25 games
64%
Bane
Bane
Kataomi · 22 games
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 22 games
55%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 22 games
45%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 21 game
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
48%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 20 games
55%

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 18 games
39%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Norma · 18 games
39%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 17 games
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Norma · 16 games
25%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Fernans · 13 games
62%
Warlock
Warlock
flacko · 12 games
33%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Fernans · 11 games
36%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Fernans · 11 games
18%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
527 picks · 768 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
490 picks · 344 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
456 picks · 636 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
441 picks · 551 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
375 picks · 678 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
351 picks · 566 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
341 picks · 454 bans
48%
Slardar
Slardar
321 picks · 887 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 48%
Hero pool strength60% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:10
BETBOOM TEAM 82%Inner Circle 18%
The model gave 82% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckgpK~
53% · 270 games49% · 213 games
Ursa423
Ursa
Abaddon
AbaddonKiritych
53% · 193 games48% · 96 games
Underlordlaise
Underlord
Axe
AxeMieRo
43% · 196 games49% · 139 games
Leshracniche
Leshrac
Phoenix
PhoenixSave-
50% · 144 games53% · 177 games
ChenSe
Chen
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinKataomi
51% · 50 games52% · 228 games
Shadow DemonDaze
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction correct28:10
BETBOOM TEAM 81%Inner Circle 19%
The model gave 81% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKiritych
46% · 414 games50% · 499 games
Beastmaster423
Beastmaster
Kunkka
KunkkagpK~
43% · 214 games58% · 458 games
Ember Spiritniche
Ember Spirit
Mars
MarsMieRo
51% · 343 games57% · 389 games
Bristlebacklaise
Bristleback
Jakiro
JakiroSave-
49% · 559 games53% · 523 games
WarlockSe
Warlock
Tusk
TuskKataomi
46% · 585 games48% · 246 games
Dark WillowDaze
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 94%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2