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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
4Piratesloss 0:2
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Power Rangerswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

4Pirates

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
ariel · 33 games
45%
Tusk
Tusk
PERDAN4IK · 30 games
27%
Dazzle
Dazzle
PERDAN4IK · 28 games
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
PERDAN4IK · 26 games
35%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 24 games
50%
Marci
Marcioften banned
PERDAN4IK · 24 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 24 games
38%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
мистер мораль · 23 games
43%

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
queezy · 4 games
0%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
nesfeer · 3 games
0%
Kunkka
Kunkka
Alberkaaa · 3 games
0%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 3 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
nicky`cool · 2 games
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
nesfeer · 2 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Hduo · 2 games
0%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Hduo · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
529 picks · 772 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
491 picks · 346 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
462 picks · 636 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
439 picks · 551 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
376 picks · 667 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
353 picks · 569 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
339 picks · 462 bans
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
325 picks · 145 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 38%
Hero pool strength55% 4Pirates
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:34
4Pirates 45%Power Rangers 55%
The model gave 55% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 40:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Omniknight
Omniknightzvёzd
56% · 11 games45% · 77 games
Shadow Fiendnesfeer
Shadow Fiend
Puck
Puckcoldofff
48% · 273 games43% · 80 games
Slardarnicky`cool
Slardar
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorariel
65% · 15 games54% · 72 games
DoomAlberkaaa
Doom
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiPERDAN4IK
54% · 68 games49% · 72 games
PhoenixImmersion
Phoenix
45% · 66 games
ClockwerkHduo
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct8:32
4Pirates 45%Power Rangers 55%
The model gave 55% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 27:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritcoldofff
47% · 296 games49% · 143 games
Shadow Fiendnesfeer
Shadow Fiend
Clinkz
Clinkzzvёzd
52% · 58 games51% · 183 games
Timbersawnicky`cool
Timbersaw
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkariel
46% · 230 games55% · 310 games
Centaur WarrunnerAlberkaaa
Centaur Warrunner
Jakiro
JakiroPERDAN4IK
46% · 362 games54% · 288 games
Shadow DemonImmersion
Shadow Demon
55% · 22 games
Treant ProtectorHduo
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 59%
Series resultPower Rangers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2