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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ivoryloss 0:2
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Jackky and friendswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ivory

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Teehee · 8 games
25%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 8 games
25%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Teehee · 7 games
43%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Dric~ · 6 games
67%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Ken · 6 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Dric~ · 6 games
17%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ken · 6 games
50%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Teehee · 5 games
60%

Jackky and friends

Tusk
Tusk
Q · 4 games
25%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
JaCkky · 3 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Jabz · 3 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Oli · 3 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 3 games
100%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Jabz · 2 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Jabz · 2 games
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
JaCkky · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
532 picks · 771 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
494 picks · 344 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
463 picks · 638 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
440 picks · 549 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
378 picks · 664 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
353 picks · 565 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
339 picks · 462 bans
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
328 picks · 145 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% Jackky and friends
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Jackky and friends
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:16
Ivory 37%Jackky and friends 63%
The model gave 63% on Jackky and friends — the game was taken by Jackky and friends in 27:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritKen
51% · 351 game52% · 141 game
MorphlingJaCkky
Morphling
Underlord
UnderlordRupido
53% · 86 games51% · 216 games
TimbersawJabz
Timbersaw
Clinkz
ClinkzKarma丶
53% · 28 games44% · 329 games
Storm SpiritEmo
Storm Spirit
Batrider
BatriderDric~
52% · 332 games55% · 77 games
Crystal MaidenOli
Crystal Maiden
Pugna
PugnaTeehee
54% · 190 games39% · 224 games
Dark WillowQ
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct23:39
Ivory 38%Jackky and friends 62%
The model gave 62% on Jackky and friends — the game was taken by Jackky and friends in 52:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainKen
51% · 287 games50% · 311 games
TerrorbladeJaCkky
Terrorblade
Lifestealer
LifestealerKarma丶
57% · 145 games49% · 321 game
Storm SpiritEmo
Storm Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerRupido
56% · 291 game42% · 151 game
KunkkaJabz
Kunkka
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanDric~
53% · 298 games45% · 373 games
WarlockOli
Warlock
Clockwerk
ClockwerkTeehee
51% · 176 games45% · 41 game
Spirit BreakerQ
Spirit Breaker
Model check result
Model favoriteJackky and friends · 75%
Series resultJackky and friends 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2