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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXwin 2:0
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 13 games
62%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 8 games
75%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 7 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
dalul · 7 games
57%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 7 games
71%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 6 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
inYourdreaM · 6 games
50%

Yangon Galacticos

Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
40%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
0%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
75%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
532 picks · 770 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
494 picks · 344 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
463 picks · 638 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
439 picks · 549 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
378 picks · 660 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
353 picks · 562 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
339 picks · 461 bans
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
328 picks · 145 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 33%
Hero pool strength58% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:21
REKONIX 68%Yangon Galacticos 32%
The model gave 68% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 35:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorTraVins
36% · 10 games53% · 259 games
TerrorbladeKsh
Terrorblade
Axe
AxeFbz
54% · 35 games
Tiny
TinyinYourdreaM
50% · 130 games
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magedalul
43% · 24 games
Disruptor
DisruptorVarizh
48% · 60 games
Game 2prediction correct19:4
REKONIX 64%Yangon Galacticos 36%
The model gave 64% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 22:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezTraVins
little data58% · 52 games
MorphlingKsh
Morphling
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaininYourdreaM
33% · 29 games
Razor
RazorFbz
30% · 6 games
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenVarizh
40% · 11 games
Pudge
Pudgedalul
80% · 6 games
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 81%
Series resultREKONIX 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2