ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Hoodwink
Save- · 42 games
Muertasignature
Save- · 25 games
Bane
Kataomi · 23 games
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 23 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 22 games
Tusk
Kataomi · 22 games
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 21 game
Disruptor
Kataomi · 19 games
1w Team
Pucksignature
Squad1x · 32 games
Warlock
kasane · 30 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Squad1x · 29 games
Leshracsignature
Squad1x · 28 games
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 27 games
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 25 games
Tusk
swedenstrong · 22 games
Disruptor
kasane · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
533 picks · 767 bans
Tusk
492 picks · 344 bans
Dragon Knight
462 picks · 639 bans
Centaur Warrunner
442 picks · 546 bans
Shadow Demon
375 picks · 659 bans
Gyrocopter
356 picks · 562 bans
Mars
340 picks · 462 bans
Hoodwink
329 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 59%
Hero pool strength53% 1w Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total81% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:12
BETBOOM TEAM 67%1w Team 33%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 45:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinKiritych
LunaMunkushi~
BeastmastergpK~
SniperSquad1x
BrewmasterMieRo
DoomSSS
Shadow DemonSave-
WarlockRein
DisruptorKataomi
Tuskswedenstrong
Game 2prediction correct35:3
BETBOOM TEAM 66%1w Team 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 24:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AbaddonKiritych
LunaMunkushi~
TinygpK~
DoomSSS
Dark SeerMieRo
InvokerSquad1x
HoodwinkSave-
WarlockRein
ZeusKataomi
Tuskswedenstrong
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 81%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2